Rebuilding American Agriculture Around Profit Instead of Yield

The S2G Podcast • Ep. 66
Rebuilding American Agriculture Around Profit Instead of Yield
Published
Categories

American agriculture has never been more productive, yet the system supporting it has become increasingly fragile. 

Farmers can produce extraordinary yields and still struggle to generate durable profits, while rising costs, concentrated markets, dependence on government support, aging farm ownership, input vulnerabilities, and intensifying global competition expose structural weaknesses that higher yields alone cannot solve.

That is the central argument of Building the Missing Market: A National Strategy for American Agriculture, a new S2G report by Grant Leslie and Aaron Rudberg. The report calls for a fundamental shift in how American agriculture measures success, from yield per acre to risk adjusted profit per acre, meaning how much a farmer actually keeps from each acre and how reliably they keep it once costs and risks are accounted for. But changing the measure is only the beginning. Farmers who want to grow something different often lack the market around them: a committed buyer, a fair price, the financing and infrastructure to make the transition viable, and access to the innovation needed to manage it successfully.

In this episode, report co-authors Aaron Rudberg and Grant Leslie are joined by Al Tank, an Iowa farmer, entrepreneur, and agriculture and trade policy expert. They discuss why the current Farm Bill may provide farmers with needed short-term certainty without addressing the underlying structural problems, why agriculture belongs in the same national security conversation as semiconductors and critical minerals, and why innovation, capital, policy, and market demand have to move together.

The conversation ultimately asks what it would take to build a different system over the next decade, one in which a farmer who wants to grow something different has a real buyer, a fair price, and financing that allows them to make the transition without betting the farm.

View the Transcript.

Key Takeaways

  • Grant and Aaron discuss how American agriculture has become extraordinarily productive, yet farmers can still struggle to generate durable profits. Their central argument is that the system should focus less on maximizing yield alone and more on risk-adjusted profit per acre, so farmers are rewarded for how much they actually keep and how reliably they keep it.

  • Grant explains that farmers cannot simply move first when there is no committed buyer, clear price signal, financing, or infrastructure supporting a different crop or production model. Al builds on that idea, arguing that change has to be pulled through the entire value chain, with buyers, technology, capital, and risk management moving together.

  • Grant and Al argue that Congress should provide farmers with the near-term stability they need, but repeated support and emergency payments cannot substitute for a strategy that improves the underlying economics of farming. The larger goal is to change the incentives and create viable alternatives rather than continually treating the symptoms.

  • Al argues that agriculture should be viewed through the same strategic lens as semiconductors, critical minerals, and energy. Concentrated input supply chains, changing global trade patterns, and regulatory barriers to new technologies all affect the country’s ability to compete and control its agricultural future.

  • Grant describes the report’s roadmap as two jobs that have to happen at the same time: changing the policies and incentives that keep farmers on the current path, while building the buyers, financing, infrastructure, and markets that give them somewhere else to go. As Al emphasizes, the urgency is real, and every part of the system has a role to play.

Al Tank: And I would argue that we haven’t done anything substantive since the 1985 farm bill with regard to agriculture policy. And we talked earlier, everything else in the world has changed. So we’re sitting here with this farm bill that’s being proposed, which isn’t going to change anything. Okay, it does provide certainty and that’s really about the end of the game for us. But the reality is we should be thinking about this as an existential threat. And then look at legislative and policy initiatives that reflect that existential threat.

Get podcasts in your inbox.

*indicates required
S2G Podcast